New report from diverse coalition reveals what governments must do to achieve Paris Agreement goals
As government ministers meet in Marrakech to assess global ambition towards addressing climate change in the near-term, a diverse coalition of social movements, environmental and development NGOs, trade unions, and faith groups on Friday released a startling new report, titled: “Setting the Path towards 1.5°C: A Civil Society Equity Review of pre-2020 Ambition.” The report says the Paris Agreement’s aspirational temperature limit of 1.5°C can only be met if governments take immediate action in the next four years to speed up the pace of cutting emissions.
The report is a follow up to 2015’s “A Civil Society Equity Review”, which assessed countries’ Paris commitments – their pledged emissions reductions post-2020 – against their “fair share” of such reductions, based on each country’s responsibility for causing climate change, and capability to help solve the problem.
“Setting the Path towards 1.5°C” looks at the short term, reviewing countries’ pre-2020 emissions reductions and climate finance pledges. It finds that, in aggregate, developed countries, in spite of having a larger fair share of emissions reductions than developing countries, are offering much lower levels of ambition, while developing countries are much closer to meeting their fair share if they fulfil their most ambitious pledges.
Globally, the report finds that that only 30-44% of the mitigation needed in 2020 to achieve the 1.5°C limit has been pledged. Without much greater levels of emissions cuts in the pre-2020 years, action in the post-2020 years will have to be much more ambitious and costly than is feasible, adds the report.
In fact, the report asserts that, for a scenario in which the world limits overall warming to 1.5°C, many developed countries have fair shares that are larger than could be met domestically. These countries can only meet their fair shares by providing money for additional emissions cuts in developing countries. Only with massive international cooperation – that makes it possible for developing countries to go way beyond their fair shares – can the global climate crisis be solved.
Governments cannot leave Marrakesh without Setting the Path towards 1.5°C
Beyond highlighting the urgent need to increase ambition and cooperation, the report prescribes a comprehensive set of recommendations, many aimed at the ongoing talks in Marrakech, dubbed an “Action COP,” and in particular the High-Level “Facilitative Dialogue” that is supposed to take an honest look into how to beef up the inadequate pre-2020 efforts. Among the recommendations:
- Developed countries must deliver their fair share of public climate finance to enable transformation across all sectors in the effort to limit warming to 1.5°C, and help communities adapt to even that degree of warming.
- G20 governments must take action now to phase out fossil-fuel production subsidies, and terminate public support for fossil exploration.
- Bilateral and multilateral support for energy development must prioritise access to affordable, reliable, sustainable and modern energy.
- Governments must increase the national targets to reduce emissions that they submitted before Paris.
- A renewable energy partnership should be established to spur a race to the top; organise an ambitious and properly financed system to resource global renewable energy initiatives; and organise similar partnerships across other sectors, such as public transport, housing and agriculture.
- All sectors of society must be engaged in these efforts, including women, workers, youth, indigenous peoples, local communities, and migrants.
The following groups, organisations and movements are signatories to the 2016 Report “Setting the Path Towards 1.5°C: A Civil Society Equity Review of Pre-2020 Ambition.”
International
Center for International Environmental Law (CIEL)
Corporate Accountability International.
Friends of the Earth International
Global Catholic Climate Movement
International Trade Union Confederation (ITUC)
Regional
Asia Pacific Forum on Women, Law and Development
Asian Peoples Movement on Debt and Development
Catholic Youth Network for Environmental Sustainability in Africa (CYNESA)
Climate Action Network South Asia
Horn of Africa Regional Environmental Network
Pan African Climate Justice Alliance (PACJA)
South Asia Alliance for Poverty Eradication (SAAPE)
South Asia Food Sovereignty Network
South Asia Peasants Coalition
Young Friends of the Earth Europe
Africa
Actions en faveur de l’Homme et de la Nature, Côte d’Ivoire
Climate & Sustainable Development Network of Nigeria
Energy Democracy Initiative, South Africa
Health of Mother Earth Foundation (HOMEF), Nigeria
Institute for Economic Research on Innovation, South Africa
Ivory Coast Climate Change Network – PACJA Chapter
Labour, Health and Human Rights Development Centre, Nigeria
Pesticide Action Network (PANeM), Mauritius
Project 90 by 2030, South Africa
Reseau sur le Changement Climatique RDC; DR.Congo Climate Change Network (RCC-RDC)
Uganda Coalition for Sustainable Development
Aksi! for gender, social and ecological justice, Indonesia
Aksyon Klima, Philippines
All Nepal National Free Student Union (ANNFSU)
All Nepal Peasants Federation
Archdiocese of Manila Ministry on Ecology-national, Philippines
Beyond Beijing Committee (BBC), Nepal
Campaign for Climate Justice Nepal
Campaign for Good Governance (SUPRO), Bangladesh
Catholic Stewards of Creation, Philippines
CEED – Center for Ecology and Economic Development, Philippines
Center for Disaster Preparedness, Philippines
Center for Environmental Justice (CEJ) / Friends of the Earth Sri Lanka
Center for Socio-Economic Research and Development Nepal (CERDN)
Centre for Technology and Development, India
Coastal Association for Social Transformation (COAST), Bangladesh
Coastal Women’s Movement, India
Ecology Collective Association, Turkey
Environmental Protection Society Malaysia
Equity and Justice Working Group Bangladesh (EquityBD)
Freedom from Debt Coalition, Philippines
Indian Social Action Forum – INSAF
Jagaran Nepal
Koalisi Rakyat untuk Hak atas Air (KRUHA), Indonesia
Madani – Indonesia
National Women Peasants Association, Nepal
National Women’s Movement, India
Nepal Youth Peasants Association, Nepal
Pambansang Koalisyon ng Pabahay, Philippines
Partnership for Clean Air (PCA), Philippines
Philippine Movement for Climate Justice (PMCJ)
Philippine Rural Reconstruction Movement (PRRM), Philippines
Rural Reconstruction Nepal (RRN)
Task Force Detainees of the Philippines (TFDP)
Tax and Fiscal Justice Alliance – Nepal (TFJAN)
Tax and Fiscal Justice Alliance, Nepal
Women Welfare Society (WWS), Nepal
Europe
Amigos de la Tierra – Friends of the Earth Spain
An Taisce – The National Trust for Ireland
Climate Revolution, United Kingdom
HELVETAS Swiss Intercooperation
Jordens Vänner – Friends of the Earth Sweden
Maan ystävät ry – Friends of the Earth Finland
Milieudefensie – Friends of the Earth Netherlands
Naturvernforbundet – Friends of the Earth Norway
Oil Vay: Jewish Climate Action Network, United Kingdom
Oxford Climate Policy, United Kingdom
Right to Remain, United Kingdom
Stop Climate Chaos Coalition, Ireland
United Kingdom Without Incineration Network (UKWIN)
Asociacion Ambiente y sociedad, Colombia
Engajamundo, Brazil
Movimiento Ciudadano frente al Cambio Climático – MOCICC, Perú
Association québécoise de lutte contre la pollution atmosphérique (AQLPA), Canada
Canadian Interfaith Fast for the Climate
Canadian Unitarians for Social Justice
Canadian Voice of Women for Peace
Canadian Youth Climate Coalition
Center for Biological Diversity, United States
Church World Service, United States
Climate Action Network Canada – Réseau action climat Canada
David Suzuki Foundation, Canada
Development and Peace – Caritas Canada
Earth in Brackets (EIB), United States
ENvironnement JEUnesse, Canada
Institute for Agriculture and Trade Policy, United States
Institute for Policy Studies, United States
Physicians for Social Responsibility- Philadelphia, United States
Sierra Youth Coalition, Canada
Sustainability and Education Policy Network, Canada
The Alabama Center for Rural Enterprise (ACRE), United States
The Climate Justice Project, United States
Transition Initiative Kenora, Canada
Windfall Ecology Centre, Canada
World Federalist Movement – Canada
Aotearoa New Zealand Human Rights Lawyers Association
Blacktown & District Environment Group, Australia
Climate Action Monaro, Australia
Climate and Health Alliance, Australia
Climate Change Balmain-Rozelle, Australia
Climate Justice Program, Australia
Human Rights Foundation Aotearoa New Zealand
New Zealand Climate Action Network
New Zealand College of Public Health Medicine
OraTaiao: New Zealand Climate & Health Council